The Ceasefire Effect: Implications for U.S.–Russia Relations and Global Power Dynamics
Keywords:
Ceasefire, U.S.–Russia Relations, Geopolitics, Multilateral Institutions, Great Power Competition, Strategic DiplomacyAbstract
The study examines how ceasefires play the strategic role in influencing the relationship between the U.S and Russia bilaterally in the global power politics. The aim is to analyze the role of ceasefires as geopolitical maneuvers, not ceasefire breaks and how the interludes affect the great power relations, multilateral institutions, and the actors in the region. Major revelations have been that, the U.S. applies ceasefires to ensure multilateral cooperation and humanitarian aid, whereas Russia uses ceasefires to cement territorial advantage and power. Moreover, the periods of ceasefire frequently give possibilities to the third-party forces such as China, Turkey, and Iran to gain power in disputable territories. Multilateral organizations such as UN and OSCE encounter problems in implementing ceasefire agreements because of power problems and conflicting interests among significant players. It is the conclusion of the study that ceasefires are not neutral but the instrument of global power rivalry, where their misuse can extend conflict and redefine geopolitical interests. On the basis of these results, several guidelines have been put forward such as: fortifying multilateral supervision, involving new powers in ceasefire diplomacy, connecting ceasefire to a long-term political transition, and intuiting explicit requirements to restrain great power manipulation. These measures are crucial to enhancing the work on conflict resolution and making the peacebuilding of the 21st century even more effective.
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